DD

Barking_Kitty

Whatever dude - if you can’t do your own DD you shouldn’t be investing in anything really Good luck

MlLFHUNTER77

Sorry, let me rephrase it: Short-term price swings are very irrational. There can be one single failed clinical trial and all the gains get wiped out because people are scared. Intrinsical value is hard to determine in biotech stocks, which is why the volatility is so insane imo. People also overestimate how informed and educated investors are, many people who invest in biotech unfortunately don't know shit about the diseases they target, how to read studies etc. because looking merely at financials does nothing in this industry. I once pitched an investment idea to the Portfolio Management Team who needed a replacement for a stock and I was flabbergasted about the fact that I had to explain every second term, which was common knowledge in my eyes. Retail investors are even worse, they just trade based on vibes, FOMO and the incomplete way they interpret corporate news. I'm very pessimistic, I always like to assume that investors are uneducated in this area. In the long term? It's a solid company and I'm sure it will succeed, not gonna argue about that at all. I'm just not sure if December is enough time, I really believe it is, but I personally just bought stocks because I never trust investors, a company can have a great business model, be profitable but sometimes the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. Hope your options print though, good luck! And thanks again for your DD, it must have taken hours, very much appreciated.

Barking_Kitty

Rather than analyzing my motives, why not spend some time to DD this company? You will see how undervalued it is and that this isn’t some pump and dump scheme. You will end up coming back to check this post anyway. Remember the ticker: ROOT

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Barking_Kitty

Up to you! Do some DD on this, and you will see how severely undervalued it is in my opinion

ProfessorCommenter

Top notch DD. While I do think this is going to be a cash cow, the important thing here is just how ground breaking this new treatment is. You hit the nail on the head with that. In with 100 $10 calls for June. Planning to play this thing all the way up, so will roll up and out if necessary.

ProfessorCommenter

The only thing I am a professor in is commenting. I hope you still appreciate me. That is an astounding DD. I read it earlier this morning. All of the DDs I’ve seen thus far were good, but missed on the actual effectiveness of this drug. Yours did not miss. Great job explaining in detail why this is such a ground breaking new treatment. I am with you in this one 100 percent. Best of luck!

k7rw

Why did NVDA just go from 860 to 874 5 minutes ago who has the DD?

KINGKANGHA

Best and most informative DD I’ve seen on IBRX yet! But be careful, multiple people have been permabanned from wsb for mentioning this stock…ridiculous

TheMemeChurch

Thanks for the great DD as always, just like you did on ALCC. Lymphoma took my mother way too early. Fuck cancer. I’m in.

Such-Ice1325

So many words entered in the doc file but with no meaning... To say that the worst Part is that the ceo has changed directly disqualify your DD. The Former ceo is very well known to bring Company into IPO and then move on. Thats it. The New CEO is way more technical driven which snowflake needs. He also has a great CV (google). Give it time. Valuation doesnt mean a shit. Market is not rational. Its emotional driven. If wallstreet will see the success of SNOW then it will, and it will Based on the comments of analyst, warren Buffet etc. They dont give a shit about anything.

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MlLFHUNTER77

Thanks for this insanely good DD. Their pipeline is also insane, very promising stuff. Biotech stocks are unfortunately as irrational as it gets, but I hope this one prints. I'll either die or rise with you 

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daaniscool

Get these rational opinions out to r/stocks I want to see loss porn and people cope DD'ing companies where they threw their grandma's inheritance in.

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richwonton168

Since McDonald is shitting in the bed and Dash who deliver for them is shitting in its bed. Should USFD who supply them be shitting the bed too? It can’t be that easy right?? Can someone smarter do some DD and report back?

losingthehumanrace

I was gonna do DD, but then I got high I was gonna invest carefully, but then I got high Now I’m behind the Wendy’s dumpster, and I know why! (Why man) Because I got high, because I got high, because I got high-igh La da da da da….

ObiJuanJanobi

I feel bad, my DD was for Oklo long term, I hope people do make money on this short term turn around, but I can't predict what will happen immediately after the merger.

TheMemeChurch

Bro you do the best DD. First ALCC and now IBRX. I know I’m in good company 😂

LarryStink

My gut tells me Abnb puts for earnings. No DD just intuition. 

External_Platypus_56

This is great DD. Puts on all cannabis stocks

WhiteBoyWhoJumps

This is the DD I wanted to read. Thank you ;)

OldVeterinarian7668

Full regarded DD

onawhatwhat

Apple will never lose so long as women value blue text messages as a dating prerequisite, that is my DD

SuanaDrama

I'll check out your link, thanks for passing it along. The market can be irrational and it can be rational. In the end, good companies prosper and bad ones languish. How and when they arrive is the irrational part. My DD on PTON has proven to be solid. Have you seen the news the last few weeks? Wait till earnings and it will be all spelled out... PTON is a steaming pile and its only getting steamier.

MostTap3532

Agreed . Your own DD keeps you responsible and you yourself are accountable of your actions. Learn faster that way in overall trades that you execute.

Puts_on_my_port

I got fucked on puts last quarter, someone who bought calls said that it was because they saw a lot of Hey Dude stuff under Christmas trees and their calls printed. So this seems like decent DD compared to my previous strategy of looking at past earnings performance.

mrpuma2u

I appreciate your DD. Hope that they will not be diluting.

Repulsive_Ebb_779

Nice DD. In short the real play is to buy shares ✅

DeepFuckingRed

Thank you for your DD I shall use this to make an informed decision into the stock market and invest my capital where it is needed.

yungsta12

What is your point? I focus on one penny stock at a time with about 5 percent of my portfolio and this has been my play for the last few weeks. I am presenting what I believe is a great opportunity based on fundamentals. Unless you have a worthwhile aspect of my DD you would like to discuss further, please just ignore this post and carry on instead of trolling with absolutely nothing to bring to the table.

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TicketronTickets

Go read my DD post and you will know why.

BearContra

Does Tim apple sound tired.. planning to buy 0dte puts based on this world class DD.

MUCHO2000

I know they had a partnership with Hertz to sell their EVs and Hertz dumped a ton of Tesla model 3s. Do you know what percentage of their sales were EVs? I have to admit as much as I think the stock is overpriced they did sell a shit ton of cars Q1. If this is a temporary moment in time that would be good DD info. I would love to short this stock but betting against it has proven to be a suckers game for the last 12 months.

crazyyimmy

My DD: This guy is a fucking idiot buy calls at open 🤝

avg_tech_bro

My DD: Even if Apple starts working on AI it's gonna take many billions of investment without realizing any profits and fast Apple chips are no longer needed, Apple is in a bad position right now either way. Buy puts on open 👐🏽. 

BeKindToOthersOK

5 years of DD told you to purchase this turd? Daaaaaamn. That’s gotta suck. Sorry dude.

xReMaKe

110 b buy back? What in the mother of god? Tim said f your puts!  I got a lot of calls! Had to do some crazy DD, come in here and say the overly negative sentiment, that was all I needed. F your puts!!!!! 

AP9384629344432

Recent moves / thoughts: - Yesterday completely sold out of CVS, added a little BTU as it dipped into the 21s (which is a bit silly). Dropped a big chunk into VTI/VXUS as usual. - Today added bit more HCC. For what it worth, I 'only' have about 5% of my total portfolio in coal (3 companies). I think the largest I ever had was maybe 7-8%? I'm actually pretty risk averse when it comes to concentrated positions in individual stocks. And how much I mention a stock on Reddit doesn't necessarily correlate well to how big my positions are... Granted if HCC becomes very cheap, I will sell out of some existing positions to move funds there. - Very strong day for small cap value - UI: anticipating one more bad earnings print and then I'm quite happy - TSLA forward P/E now up to 80 as earnings estimates come down... Earnings season sucks sometimes because it's so unpredictable. You can do all the DD you want but ultimately you have to just guess if a company is thriving or not. After the fact you can come up with all sorts of post-hoc rationalizations, but many of those reasonings applied in previous quarters too when the earnings were great. E.g., consumer is tapped out is something I have heard since early 2022... it's now mid 2024. So that excuse for some of the fast food companies didn't really work until recently (and still hasn't, e.g., for Chipotle). ## CVS Yesterday had sold completely out of CVS. The more I read about why the numbers are so bad, the more I think the company may just be uninvestible. The bull case about CVS is its non-retail segments (retail is and always will be a disaster long term--see WBA, RiteAid, et al). The 70B - 80B Medicare Advantage business was supposed to be a major cash cow in the future for the company. Instead, the medical benefits ratio is skyrocketing, from 85% to over 90%. (Meaning 90% of the revenue from premiums is going toward healthcare costs). The federal government's CMS (who sets the premium rates for these MA plans) pays CVS for administrating the plans, and is now refusing to raise rates. So the MA business is stuck being unprofitable (-3 to -4% margins) for the near future. Oak Street/Signify are likely still loss-producing. Don't care if the company has a near term bounce or if the CMS suddenly becomes extra generous or something. Right now, based on the data I have, this is a low quality company and I don't want my money sitting there. (The dividend payouts were pretty chunky though)

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BarRepresentative653

Interesting questions raised. So here is an actual [DD](https://asmith.ucdavis.edu/news/mysterious-bitter-and-pricy-tale-chocolates-rise#:~:text=Hence%2C%20a%20big%20portion%20of,40%25%20in%20the%20last%20year)...Sugar is also up 40% which is used liberally in Hershey products. I hadn't considered that sugar also had gone up.

PapaCharlie9

Is there a reason you are keeping the trade details a secret? Put or call? Ticker, strike, expiration, bid/ask? The IV of a stock is just an average of all the individual IVs of all the contracts for that stock, either for the next month's expiration or for all expirations, depending on how your platform calculates it. So it's better to ask about a specific type/strike/expiration, or at least confirm the IV of a specific contract, before going further. While 230% is relatively high when compared to other stocks or VIX, it might not be high for that specific stock. If the historic average IV for that stock is 300%, that would mean that the current quote is low, not high. Typically any stock IV in the triple digits is a meme stock situation. Something is driving prices to unusual levels, high or low. This could be a merger or acquisition, like for a SPAC, or a penny pharma stock expecting FDA approval, or just the latest WSB darling. So before coming up with an optimal strategy, more context and DD would be required.

SuanaDrama

I should've added a disclaimer that there are many who do know what they are talking about and I've made money following their DD or learned something new. It just seems the more sure of themselves someone is, the more likely they are full of shit

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bubbawears

We need more DD like this. My AMD bags are happy

Rickshmitt

Except we learned with Gamestop that they push their ftds forever, jam the price lower with buys in the darkpool and sells on the market. Its crazy corrupt. Citadel owes millions. Check out some DD on Gamestop to see what they are doing

RuthlessWolf

https://preview.redd.it/2pmvb11la1yc1.jpeg?width=448&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=da2cdff6db98d21a71de561f18c3bdeb51c987ce My DD for $COIN

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ShoppingFew2818

Orderd some food through DD and items were missing. Asked DD to get the food delivered or refund and they told me to go F myself. great business model they have.

BC122177

Interesting… The only thing that’s making me iffy is the many “I hear(d)” comments in this thread but the DD looks pretty solid. I’m in for a few calls.

FML712

Classic WSB DD 

Jonesbro

That's the DD that matters. Having a ton of excess stock is bad. It costs money and means guidance will be ass. It's also not public knowledge in reports yet. Gives a leg up before earnings. Buying puts.

equistchi

You are right. Last time that happened this year in February, NASDAQ itself posted an announcement.  https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/only-27-of-chinese-citizens-have-visited-amusement-parks-and-demand-is-now-growing Yoh have a huge hedge fund shorting a stock, that later posted expansion in Indonesia and NASDAQ reporting attendeces higher than usual. There are many other things, do your DD, this is interesting

anspencer12

Hope nobody is sitting on ATRA anymore in hopes of the Earnings. Just did a little DD and noticed the Board Vote set for 6/10 has a Stock Split anywhere between 1/4 and 1/30 on it, as well as an increase in Employee Stock Equity plan. Finding any way possible to gain money. Early take says this earnings report will be fatal for them if they're requesting vote of stock split already. Any thoughts?

DustyDecent

I think now is a great time to get into LADX. I will be posting a DD later

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deez_treez

I'm going to injest a bunch of PEDs then do some top notch DD

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Commercial_Method278

Now this is the DD we don’t deserve but needed 

discoveringrebel

There was some decent DD on pot stocks here about two weeks ago.

Evening_Cut4422

Coconut is used to make white coconut powder, white powder is a high demand commodity. The people that can't afford coke will buy cheap coconut powder as a substitute  this is my DD, 100% foolprove

turningsteel

Yes, they fabricated shells of user accounts in order to get investors. So they definitely did something potentially illegal. But also, Chase was so stupid because anyone who did even the most cursory DD would have seen the red flags.

raisuki

New DD BA is actually a defense stock testing their new Death Note product. Calls it is.

ObiJuan__Kenobi

Thanks for the DD. I've had this on my watch list for some time and will dump a large sum in tomorrow. What's your opinion/prediction in coming weeks?

leviticus04

Once I've broken 35-40% gains, I sell that shit and move in to the next play. Never play the same ticker twice in the same day. Always check your Greeks before buying anything. Hold stocks for at least 31 days to avoid wash rule. Put 15% of each win into a high yield acct for taxes. Never trade on emotion or hype do your own DD.

Say_no_to_doritos

You can screw them if they wave DD and you aren't doing anything illegal. 

Fuego1050

There has to be a mathematical reason for this. Might be as simple as covering into a weekend reducing interest charges on borrow. As interest accumulates sat/sun. This might even be baked into the algorithm. Now I’m certain these animals are way way way over-extended on the short side to make sure we didn’t gamma squeeze today. Huge huge dollar volume last 2 days. I believe 1 billion dollars on MSOS and basket combined. Now factor new entrants didn’t take positions yet….. They are doing DD and waiting for hype to fade - and will cautiously take a position. Maybe now that there is some volume. Should keep a positive trend.

Professional_h

Lol it's below 145 right now. Do the opposite of the DD, got it

Fantastic_Tiger_9000

i spend about $33 bucks buying coffee beans every other month. I get about 52 cups of coffees using a 13 gram to 220 gram water ratio. Sometimes its more like 40 coffee cups and 12 lattes using a moka pot with caramel syrup. Starbucks is Fuk. Thanks for reading my DD.

Professional-Age8029

Dude on WSB last year did freat DD on Carvana whe it was around 10 bucks. It was very compelling. I almost bought but was 100% invested. Wish I could remember his handle. Best call I have seen yet and I'm happy for him.

No_Communication8613

Debt. You will own the other company's debt. Triller has filled with SEC. You can see their debt and operating expenses. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1936037/000119312524018485/d356530ds1a.htm#toc356530_8a Here is a link to a SEC filling. You really should your own DD and always take profit. The stock is only worth what people are willing to pay for it.

Dismal_Tomorrow_244

Been DD on this today when to my surprise the stock wasn’t worth 0 yet Depends on how you see the Trump 2024 campaign If it looks good to you this is a solid play If you don’t think he’ll be president this will be a joke Personally, don’t know much about US politics beyond the fact that Trump literally lost to an animated corpse so I see this as a house of cards However if he is likely to win this is a good long play

Impressive_Fig_9568

This is the content/DD we need. Finally solid info

Datlolzz

Just did some more DD and honestly I won’t play rkt, markets down so I anticipate the middle class getting fucked on mortgages but rkt is just too volatile so anything could happen

MaximusBit21

On a serious note - how come there’s so many negative comments on this one yet barely anyone in this sub can figure out why it’s gone up so dramatically from c.$5 and no decent DD when it’s around that price for it to play out over $100 🤷‍♂️. Hilarious really

mmoney20

Real case that illustrated your point, Chase buying [Frank (FinAid FinTech) 175M+ ](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/21/business/jpmorgan-chase-charlie-javice-fraud.html) without DD during 2021 SPAC/IPO hype period. Chase try to sue and blame Frank management when it was their fault for making a bad investment chasing bad investments.

wagglefree

I left another response with DD. Also keep in mind that ATT management has been in austerity mode for a long time and they have turned it around. I personally bet big on this in the last 3 weeks.

Sharaku_US

This is some excellent DD

ProfessorCommenter

IBRX sent out their first shipment of their cancer drug a week early. Probably on pace to sell out. Most biotechs would delay for months on end. I think IBRX DD may have actually not been regarded.

Able_Pudding_6271

everyone starts talking like they are a genius afterwards- put out your freaking DD so I can get rich without doing my own

Icankickmyownass

Bulls never thought to DL the dasher app and check how busy DD is. Major cities grey half the time. Tired of the fees

Qualityropesales

To be fair, if DD takes a huge hit, it’s because people are starting to crack down on spending. It may actually be a pretty good leading indicator

wallstreetbets-ModTeam

This is not DD. No position screenshots, no sources, no charts. Check out other DD that has performed well for reference. We love new and original content here on WSB. We have no tolerance for basic templated memes, reposts from the front page, or boomer memes. Yes, this can be a little subjective at times, but we want to show you the best WSB has to offer! If you need some guidance, don't hesitate to reach out to modmail and we'll give you some pointers! A few tips though! • Don't just submit a chart of the current price. Come on. Google only costs $5 per search. (wait, you guys are searching for free?) • Reaction gifs are fucking lame. Put that shit in a comment, no one wants to look at your face in real life anyways so why are you making a thread about it. • Don't repost stuff. All of us are terminally online, how dare you try and make us laugh with an image posted somewhere else. Jokes aside, we don't want to beat a joke to death, so give us some fresh OC and we'll be a lot cheerier.

MidwayTrades

Also where your shorts on each side if a DD will matter. Not a fan of starting a trade as a DD in general. I just don’t like being that far OTM to start. I’d rather start as a single and then adjust into a double if the market moves against me. I get that starting as a double looks great due to a big tent size. However I noticed that my adjustment point for the DD was similar to the adjustment point if a single so there wasn’t as much of a win and my shorts being further OTM just meant I got less starting theta. This is especially true doe double calendars but I’ve seen it with DDs as well. Your trading plan may differ though. I have definitely benefitted from a vol pop with calendars. My tent expands giving me more downside room just when I could use some. Keep in mind there are multiple forces pulling in your contract prices. If your delta and gamma are high when there‘s a drop they may still overwhelm your Vega but the Vega likely pushed back against your delta/gamma and dampened their effect. The problem with using a DD like an IC is that in an IV crush, your tent will contract which likely isn’t what you want vs an IC.

MidwayTrades

DD is a double diagonal.

zxc123zxc123

They were fudging numbers like 10-20% but got their stock killed >95%. Lawsuits, delisting, fines gangbang from both US and China, multiple bankruptcy filings, etcetc. But defrauding Americans or lying on the accounting books isn't a death nail in China (talking shit about the CCP is. Look at BABA.). Money was cheap and flushed for assets when that happened. Literally no company died during 2020. So I did DD from sub$1 to just over $3 before I stated buying. Kept building position until around $15. Probably got a 10x overall. It's still a shit stock that wiped out most people [including that WSB European](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/gveon3/ive_lost_240k_on_luckin_coffee_all_my_life/). Still have a 2000 share position. Would have dumped about half to buy SBUX if it was still at $30.

mynamehere999

What the fuck is a DD? In general… If you buy a calendar spread and get a big move the short gamma causes the front month to expand greater than the back month so the spread contracts.

Captain_Ahab_Ceely

Cries in the Pacific NW where there aren't any DD.

IlllIlIIlIlII

Not much, the market is controlled by the big tech currently which is not his field of expertise, when Warren and Munger tried to buy tech like IBM, Oracle or BABA they got annihilated, the Apple was an exception because I believe Greg Abel did the DD.

My-Dumb-Questions

> So why do people say a DD or any Calendar Spread is good when IV goes up? The implied volatility moves are generally inversely proportional to the square root of time. A regular calendar position with the same strike and notional-flat are indeed long Vega and short gamma, but they are flat "root time" vega. Back of the envelope - straddle vega is 0.8 \* sqrt(T), so assuming the moves are proportional to 1/sqrt(t) makes "weighted vega" a constant which would cancel to zero in a calendar. However, if implied vol moves flatter than root-time you are going to make money (i.e. a steepening in the volatility surface). Once your structure is a double diagonal (or better to think of it as either straddle vs strangle, or strangle vs strangle), you are not guaranteed root-time vega neutrality so you need to figure out these exposures on your own.

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PapaCharlie9

It might just be a confusion about *what kind of calendar or diagonal* is meant. There's more than one kind. In fact, there are three degrees of freedom for a calendar: 1. Time between front and back legs. 1. Which leg is long and which is short. 1. Whether puts or calls are used. Diagonals add even more, in terms of the relative moneyness of the front vs. back legs. A DD then doubles that, unless the DD is contrained differ only in constant moneyness between the two diagonals. So for some calendars, rising IV might be beneficial, at least for some period of time. Like maybe it's a call calendar with the front leg being the long call and the spread width in time is super wide.

justkell44

that DD said LEAPS, spell it with me, L-E-A-P-S

Xinlitik

PAA DD remains some of the worst in recent history. Stocks hardly had a green day since then

monkies77

# Do Calendar Spreads really work when IV goes up? I've been trading Double Diagonals (DD) on the notion that Calendars work when volatility increases. However, what I've found is they actually decrease in value when IV pops. For example, if I put on a DD a month before earnings, IV increases, but the DD actually tanks in value. Modeling software shows IV increases should make the position go up in value. I found this great educational video explaining why ([https://youtu.be/S7CBoNHqo9U?si=CWztmaxRU9xOEYOz)](https://youtu.be/S7CBoNHqo9U?si=CWztmaxRU9xOEYOz)...in) ...in essence the front month IV moves more than the back month (i.e. they aren't moving at the same rate). So why do people say a DD or any Calendar Spread is good when IV goes up? In fact, wouldn't it make more sense to really use a DD the same way as an Iron Condor?...Put on the trade when IV is high and wait for the IV to decrease? PS I've had DD trades on and took them off pre-earnings because I wasn't modeling the IV crush difference from the front vs back month. Consequently, the next day after earnings, the trade would have been very profitable due to the IV crush.

krustyjugglrs

That is the agreement with DD instead of paying cash. Not a new thing since this is what DD prefers instead of cash.

OverReyted

CGC reports $78.5M revenue for 2023 Q3 alone. CVSI, 3.8M 2023 Q4 CROM, 23.92M 2023 Q4… I think it was a reasonable guess, but I still believe these were just made up numbers. Which is wild, it took me 2 seconds to find that information. Just a reminder to do your own DD, I guess.